Following the marking of the new phase of the cooperation, the Vietnam Energy Outlook Report (EOR) 2017 was launched at an event with participation of MOIT’s vice minister, a broad range of stakeholders and the Vietnamese press. The Vietnam EOR 2017 lays out alternative energy sector development pathways for Vietnam and identifies possibilities for lower-carbon future. The study finds that the Nationally Determined Contributions of Vietnam following the Paris Agreement with a conditional 25 % reduction target in greenhouse gasses could be achieved through strengthening energy efficiency and exploiting RE sources with international support.

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144 GW wind power potential to lift renewable energy target
Based on in-depth modelling of the electricity system the EOR also indicates that it is possible to operate the Vietnamese electricity system with very high levels of variable renewable energy without incurring curtailment of RE generation. The analysis also suggests that by utilizing the 27 GW of feasible wind power potential in the short-term and up to 144 GW in the long-term it is possible to achieve the goals of 44% RE in power generation in 2050 as set out in Vietnams RE Strategy at minor additional total system cost.

Based on the analysis the EOR recommends that Vietnam improves the legal framework RE development, develop an appropriate policy for power tariff, and ensure a fair competitive environment to attract domestic and foreign private investors in power generation. It is specifically recommended that a RE bidding mechanism is developed and that the current FIT mechanism should be evaluated at fixed periods to ensure an appropriate level of support to accomplish RE development targets at the lowest possible cost.

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Long-term advisor from the Danish Energy Agency will be stationed in Vietnam
As a new initiative the cooperation will include a long-term advisor from the Danish Energy Agency who will be stationed directly at MOIT to assist with long-term energy planning. The cooperation will support Vietnam in long-term planning of green transition of the energy system with emphasis on the electricity system, integration of renewable into the electricity system and improving energy efficiency in the industrial sector.

Moving forward the Danish Energy Agency will seek to further boost the energy modelling work in Vietnam by utilizing successful experiences from the Danish Energy Agency’s cooperation with China where Children’s Investment Fund Foundation (CIFF) have supported the modelling of RE integration in the Chinese power system. The Danish Energy Agency is already in close dialogue with CIFF on the possibilities for further impacting the development of the Vietnamese energy system e.g. by strengthen the modelling of the positive impact of RE on security of supply.

Documents for download
- The Vietnam Energy Outlook Report (EOR) 2017
- Renewable energy scenarios for Vietnam - Technical Report
- Note on Energy Outlook Report for Vietnam (Danish Energy Agency)

Contact
Advisor / Vietnam country coordinator Jacob Høgh
Danish Energy Agency
Tel. +45 3392 6720 or [email protected]